May was a mixed month in which the returns were affected by the movement of the US Dollar against the Euro. Secondly our Asian Long Short manager had a terrible month and CTA managers performed on average also poorly. Within the CTA managers the performance differences were however huge. The more traditional managers were suffering serious losses. In the same time the more alternative CTA’s did a great job. Strategies like currency and volatility trading are missing volatility to perform. Without big winners it all came down to the US Dollar, the slump of more than 4% during one month made the difference. When we would calculate our result in US dollars the return was more than 1% positive.
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Emerging Markets had to deal with a depreciation of the US Dollar and also the impact of a falling oil price. During May we were not invested in Turkey. Next to a negative technical trend, also the total instability of the financial markets of Turkey kept us out of the market. Russia was the most vulnerable market because of the negative trend in both the US Dollar and the oil price. Russian equities lost during May more than 6% of their value. Russia was responsible for more than 60% of the portfolio result over May. India was just following the general sentiment in emerging markets and lost over 2.5%. The markets of China, Pakistan and Eastern Europe were showing similar…
The performance differences between the different markets of the portfolio was huge. From the one side there was the strong performance of the small cap equities in India (+4%), at the other end of the spectrum there were the small caps of China losing almost 6% of their value. The weakening of the trends in Turkey and China made us to decide to withdraw from Turkey and to reduce our stake in the Chinese markets. Russia is still on the negative side. However the long-term trend is still bullish and the valuation of Russian equities extremely low. At the end of the month we are ready to build up position in the Eastern European equity markets and to add also…